I’m a very lonely voice in equity markets right now. Technically nothing has really surprised me yet, not the $VIX crush to the February gap fill, not the move toward the 4156 […]
Risk Free
All Things Being Equal
The ghost of 2013 indeed is hanging over this market. Nothing matters and the trend remains fully intact and new record market highs are made every month. November, December, January, February, March, […]
The Ghost of 2013
What have we learned so far in 2021? Simple: The relentless liquidity machine remains in full control. In addition to renewed and larger fiscal stimulus central bankers, including the Fed, have made […]
The Record
March 23, 2020. The day of the bottom and markets never looked back a few intermittent corrections aside. Central bankers have done it again: Print the world out of another crisis and […]
Dropping the Hammer
The ritual has become as old and stale as it has become predictable: A central bank promises to continue the free money spigot and market participants pile into risk assets as we […]
The Big Frat Party
I trust nobody was surprised by the big market rally last week. After all we’re all joyful attendees of a big frat party, indeed one could argue the biggest perpetual frat party […]
Intervention
In our age when every market disturbance is subject to intervention don’t be surprised when new intervention is coming. Last week’s bond jiggle got plenty people nervous. Velocity being the operative word […]
VIX Check
In Alternative View I highlighted the $VIX as a key chart to watch in 2021 for it showed longer term structures that suggest a major volatility event is to come at some […]
Technical Pivots
In the spirit of opening the box a bit: Some hopefully educational insights into technical analysis and technical pivots as they are so tremendously important for navigating through these crazy markets. At […]
Yield Shield
Is there no limit to monetary interventions? Are they forever consequence free? Can every economic and market problem be solved by ever more intervention? Anyone like myself that has questioned the efficacy […]
Gold: Sad Face
Money printing galore, dollar in the tank, everything rallying, except Gold. What gives? What’s with the sad face? Gold no longer the hedge, all aboard the crypto train instead? Certainly looks that […]
Signal Fire
The more things change the more they stay the same. So we had the bounce off of the 50MA and the other signal points we highlighted. The resulting rally brought markets right […]
