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NorthmanTrader

Markets – Macro – Stocks – Charts – Alerts – SetUps

Tag Archive for ‘Fed’

Fed Watch

Oh I love Fed chatter. Always provides an opportunity to read between the lines. Fed minutes aside what do you really think? Here’s a string of headlines that came across today, and you tell me, how confident are these guys: “Fed’s Kaplan: Bulk Of Impact From Tax Cut To Be Felt In 2018 KAPLAN SAYS U.S. MAY NEED TO MORE ACTIVELY CONSIDER WAYS TO REDUCE U.S. GOVERNMENT DEBT GROWTH FED’S […]

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Correlation Watch

Correlation does not imply causation, but who ya gonna believe, me or your lying eyes? Look, we’ve had a classic bounce off of the 200MA following heavy oversold signals. If you stayed short or shorted at or near the lows you didn’t pay attention to the signals. Stocks were massively oversold and a reconnect bounce was coming and OPEX week always makes for a good time to do just that. […]

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Weekend Charts: Shock to the System

Introduction: Consider Weekend Charts as an ongoing follow-up to my 2018 Market Outlook. I’ll be sharing high level technical observations on a weekly basis whenever possible. For other public analysis please see the latest posts on NorthmanTrader. For our market services, including technical setups, please visit Services. January 23 turned out to be an interesting day. On the one hand we had sentiment as expressed by the ultimate FOMO call: Ray Dalio […]

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Powell ain’t Yellen

When police try to solve a crime one of the key tasks is to determine who benefits from the crime. The beneficiary of a crime is not necessarily the perpetrator, but motive goes a long way to narrow the circle of potential suspects. Who benefitted from this sudden aggressive sell-off aside from anyone who was positioned short? Certainly not hedge funds that capitulated long in January with their highest long […]

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