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Tag Archive for ‘markets’

Market in Transition

Can markets extend and sustain new gains without a new free money carrot coming their way? Since the financial crisis bad news hasn’t mattered as markets always had the next free money carrot to look forward to courtesy central bank induced low rates and QE. 2017 was the icing on the cake marked by record global central bank intervention and a large US tax cut resulting in record low volatility […]

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Bull Market Requiem

A bull market requiem: Following the financial crisis the world needed coordinated structural solutions (and those would be hard requiring tough choices). Instead what the world got was coordinated central bank intervention which shrunk the middle class, made the rich richer and provided the rest with the illusion that things were getting better as pro forma unemployment rates shrunk and housing prices rose again and stock markets jumped from record […]

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This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. March Macro Charts: Keeping track of the latest macro data Market Paradox: Tech making new highs, but $DJIA is not. We have seen […]

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This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. KISS SetUp $CL: Long SetUp for Crude Light KISS SetUp $NUGT: Long SetUp for $NUGT: KISS SetUp $GDX: Long SetUp for $GDX: Fed Watch: […]

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This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. Correlation Watch: Key relationships influencing markets right now: KISS SetUp $SPX: Long SetUp for SPX: KISS SetUp $RUT: Short SetUp for $RUT: The […]

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Correlation Watch

Correlation does not imply causation, but who ya gonna believe, me or your lying eyes? Look, we’ve had a classic bounce off of the 200MA following heavy oversold signals. If you stayed short or shorted at or near the lows you didn’t pay attention to the signals. Stocks were massively oversold and a reconnect bounce was coming and OPEX week always makes for a good time to do just that. […]

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Top Posts

In case you missed below are the top posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. Powell Ain’t Yellen: Did the Fed want this correction? Sea of Change? Words of market wisdom from the wife Mrs_Northy: Scary $DJIA […]

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Powell ain’t Yellen

When police try to solve a crime one of the key tasks is to determine who benefits from the crime. The beneficiary of a crime is not necessarily the perpetrator, but motive goes a long way to narrow the circle of potential suspects. Who benefitted from this sudden aggressive sell-off aside from anyone who was positioned short? Certainly not hedge funds that capitulated long in January with their highest long […]

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Seas of Change?

The post below is an excerpt of notes Mella sent to clients this week. I think it’s too good not to share: Some observations on the recent market action. What defines a bull market? Price clearly, it goes up right, and remains fairly stable. Volatility is low and up we go. We have been in a strong bull market since 2009 lows as we know and have noted the US […]

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