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Tag Archive for ‘macro’

The Tax Cut Recession

Don’t shoot the messenger: The next recession is unavoidable and is programmed into everything we see right now. In fact, recent tax cuts may end up being the trigger of this next recession and that reality may slowly be dawning on some market participants. Hence I call it the Tax Cut Recession. Let me walk you through the evidence. Firstly let’s start with a macro chart which I think is […]

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Bull Market Requiem

A bull market requiem: Following the financial crisis the world needed coordinated structural solutions (and those would be hard requiring tough choices). Instead what the world got was coordinated central bank intervention which shrunk the middle class, made the rich richer and provided the rest with the illusion that things were getting better as pro forma unemployment rates shrunk and housing prices rose again and stock markets jumped from record […]

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This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. March Macro Charts: Keeping track of the latest macro data Market Paradox: Tech making new highs, but $DJIA is not. We have seen […]

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This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. The Market’s Junk Problem: Pay close attention to this chart. Monthly Charts: Not all indices are created equal, note the differences in the […]

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This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. KISS SetUp $CL: Long SetUp for Crude Light KISS SetUp $NUGT: Long SetUp for $NUGT: KISS SetUp $GDX: Long SetUp for $GDX: Fed Watch: […]

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The Writing on the Wall

Many times people’s eyes glaze over when it comes to macro analysis and I get it. Macro analysis is by definition: Macro. It’s like watching a glacier melt and it only becomes of concern when the glacier structure collapses and you just happen to be in front of it. And then everybody says: Nobody could’ve seen it coming. Yet following the macro pieces is so incredibly important and I continuously […]

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This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. Correlation Watch: Key relationships influencing markets right now: KISS SetUp $SPX: Long SetUp for SPX: KISS SetUp $RUT: Short SetUp for $RUT: The […]

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The % Puzzle Coming Together

The macro premise remains simple and I’ve written about this a lot: The US is drowning in debt and as long as rates are low it’s all fun and giggles, but there is a point where it cramps on growth and the simple question is when and where. In recent weeks we have had a nasty correction coinciding with technical overbought readings and both bonds and stocks testing 30 year […]

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Top Posts

In case you missed below are the top posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. The Ultimate Bear Chart: Discussing an ominous relationship between bonds and stocks as seen in a unique technical pattern: January Market lessons: […]

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Macro Alert

Watch out, stocks are not the only thing flying. Recently I outlined my concerns about the cost of carry as rates are rising and I’ve outlined my analysis in The Debt Beneath. As rates are rising I’m keeping a very close eye on the data points that are coming in and I encourage everyone to do the same. And based on what I’m seeing it’s enough to issue a general […]

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