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NorthmanTrader

Markets – Macro – Stocks – Charts – Alerts – SetUps

Tag Archive for ‘macro’

This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. KISS SetUp $CL: Long SetUp for Crude Light KISS SetUp $NUGT: Long SetUp for $NUGT: KISS SetUp $GDX: Long SetUp for $GDX: Fed Watch: […]

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The Writing on the Wall

Many times people’s eyes glaze over when it comes to macro analysis and I get it. Macro analysis is by definition: Macro. It’s like watching a glacier melt and it only becomes of concern when the glacier structure collapses and you just happen to be in front of it. And then everybody says: Nobody could’ve seen it coming. Yet following the macro pieces is so incredibly important and I continuously […]

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This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. Correlation Watch: Key relationships influencing markets right now: KISS SetUp $SPX: Long SetUp for SPX: KISS SetUp $RUT: Short SetUp for $RUT: The […]

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The % Puzzle Coming Together

The macro premise remains simple and I’ve written about this a lot: The US is drowning in debt and as long as rates are low it’s all fun and giggles, but there is a point where it cramps on growth and the simple question is when and where. In recent weeks we have had a nasty correction coinciding with technical overbought readings and both bonds and stocks testing 30 year […]

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February Macro Charts

From January’s Macro Charts: “Synchronized global growth is the buzzword as markets keep accelerating from one record to another. The data points suggest a different story.  While US tax cuts will provide a modest bump in growth and in earnings they appear to do little on the structural or fundamental front. Rather the story is debt and more debt. Not only the consumer, but also the US government.” Well, in the […]

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Top Posts

In case you missed below are the top posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. The Ultimate Bear Chart: Discussing an ominous relationship between bonds and stocks as seen in a unique technical pattern: January Market lessons: […]

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Macro Alert

Watch out, stocks are not the only thing flying. Recently I outlined my concerns about the cost of carry as rates are rising and I’ve outlined my analysis in The Debt Beneath. As rates are rising I’m keeping a very close eye on the data points that are coming in and I encourage everyone to do the same. And based on what I’m seeing it’s enough to issue a general […]

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January Macro Charts

Synchronized global growth is the buzzword as markets keep accelerating from one record to another. The data points suggest a different story.  While US tax cuts will provide a modest bump in growth and in earnings they appear to do little on the structural or fundamental front. Rather the story is debt and more debt. Not only the consumer, but also the US government. From our perspective we are in […]

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Quick Takes

In today’s Quick Takes: Tax Bill Update It’s almost as if they didn’t read it before they voted for it. Citigroup came out and warned of a $20B charge as a result of the bill, the CEO of one of the largest coal companies came out and said the tax bill would destroy his company and cost thousands of jobs, tax professionals reading the details are basically left to say “holy […]

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Quick Takes

Today’s Quick Takes: Once-Hot Apartment Construction Cooling as U.S. Housing Engine Artificial intelligence and the stability of markets QT: The long standing trend of computerized program trading may indeed squash volatility forever. AI has no fear, neither do algos. The traditional fear bottom may become a thing of the past. As no participants have fear of any negative consequences of a wrong bet. And since nobody cares about profits, who then […]

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