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NorthmanTrader

Markets – Macro – Stocks – Charts – Alerts – SetUps

Tag Archive for ‘economy’

February Macro Charts

From January’s Macro Charts: “Synchronized global growth is the buzzword as markets keep accelerating from one record to another. The data points suggest a different story.  While US tax cuts will provide a modest bump in growth and in earnings they appear to do little on the structural or fundamental front. Rather the story is debt and more debt. Not only the consumer, but also the US government.” Well, in the […]

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Top Posts

In case you missed below are the top posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. Powell Ain’t Yellen: Did the Fed want this correction? Sea of Change? Words of market wisdom from the wife Mrs_Northy: Scary $DJIA […]

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January Macro Charts

Synchronized global growth is the buzzword as markets keep accelerating from one record to another. The data points suggest a different story.  While US tax cuts will provide a modest bump in growth and in earnings they appear to do little on the structural or fundamental front. Rather the story is debt and more debt. Not only the consumer, but also the US government. From our perspective we are in […]

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2017 Market Lessons

Before I publish my market outlook for 2018 in the days ahead I thought it might be useful to recap some lessons learned from 2017. While I want to focus on technical considerations some larger market context first is equally important. The biggest mistake bears always make, myself included, is underestimate the sheer recklessness of bulls. They keep raising the bar higher and higher, get everyone positioned long and when the […]

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As Good As it Gets

So they got their tax cut done. In the middle of the night again no less, despite the vast majority of the American people not wanting it. The reason may simply be that the American public is not believing the false narratives that are being sold to them. And who can blame them? It starts at the top after all. When Donald Trump claims the tax plan would personally hurt […]

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December Macro Charts

From our perspective we are in a late market cycle environment setting up for the next recession. We’re collecting macro data charts highlighting potential signs of a coming macro turn. Below is a collection of some of the latest data points we’ve found. For the latest public analysis please see Market Analysis and/or videos. For our market products please visit Services. Updated December 30, 2017

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The Silence of the Bears

The silence of the bears is deafening. And who can blame them? The last 2 years have been absolutely brutal for any fans of price discovery, volatility and anything analytical mattering. Nothing matters. Be it divergences, valuations, earnings misses, slowing data, yield curve, equal weight, internals, catastrophes in nature, slowing loan growth, slowing auto sales, slowing real estate, retail apocalypse, debt levels, etc…I can drone on. Nothing matters. Markets keep […]

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Quick Takes

Today’s Quick Takes: Once-Hot Apartment Construction Cooling as U.S. Housing Engine Artificial intelligence and the stability of markets QT: The long standing trend of computerized program trading may indeed squash volatility forever. AI has no fear, neither do algos. The traditional fear bottom may become a thing of the past. As no participants have fear of any negative consequences of a wrong bet. And since nobody cares about profits, who then […]

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Quick Takes

Today’s Quick Takes: S&P 500 Breaks Longest Stretch of Calm in Half a Century QT: There’s a subtle change going on with volatility. We’ve had higher lows and and yet again a spike to the trend line that was rejected. Volatility compression remains, but keeping track of the $VIX is key to inform risk/reward: $VIX: Trend line rejection. Perfection. KILLER chart and has been for 2 years. Long time followers know […]

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Quick Takes

Today’s Quick Takes: Top Tech Stocks’ $1.7 Trillion Gain Eclipses Canada’s Economy The Gap Between Rich and Poor May Be Reaching Its Peak QT: In the olden days we would have seen pitchforks by now. These days everyone is glued to $NFLX, $FB, $GOOGL, or shopping on $AMZN with $AAPL devices. Greece to distribute 1.4 bln euros to citizens hit by austerity Dick’s Sporting Goods shares sink on weak 2018 outlook […]

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