This page tracks VIX (volatility) over time and different time frames along with different subsets of $VIX. Updates, including different time frames and additional technical subsets, will be notified via Twitter and Facebook.
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August 25, 2017
Battle for the $VIX: Just before Jackson Hole the $VIX has continued to stay above its 200MA, an unprecedented feat in 2017. It’s a Friday and Yellen & Draghi are giving speeches the result of which may influence how this indicator closes today. Watching the 50MA just below, it’s also creeping northward. The last time it crossed above the 200MA was 2 years ago:
August 22, 2017
$VIX setting up for a battle here between the 50MA & 200MA. If the standard bull program continues it’ll drop below the 50MA in short order and stay below. If it bounces things may signal a larger shift.
August 19, 2017
$XIV monthly candle. Something has changed.
August 10, 2017
$VIX now most overbought in 2017 and tagging key trend line zones.
August 9, 2017
$XIV risking potential monthly double top:
August 2, 2017
$XIV monthly. What’s that red color?
July 25, 2017
$VIX has stayed below 10 ever since Janet Yellen spoke:
$VIX was on death row. Janet Yellen was the executioner.
No $VIX close above 10 since Janet Yellen’s congressional testimony. pic.twitter.com/ABcdvzCv4m
— Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) July 25, 2017
No exception today, however $VIX again tagged its lower trend line and has bounced from there. Target remains the upper trend line and eventual gap fill.
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July 17, 2017
You are here. 7.93 on $VXO the original $VIX. My long term outlook is self explanatory with 99.9% of all market history showing higher volatility readings than now:
July 14, 2017
$XIV monthly chart. For a derivative product it has acted amazing technically as the consecutive bounces off of the monthly 5 EMA have shown. The move continues to be unprecedented and is making a new high today. The eventual reversion will likely be dramatic
July 11, 2017
$VIX spikes appear to get shallower and shallower and last less and less time as the reflexive tendency to buy the dip is “deeply ingrained” as Mohamed El-Erian called it in reference to a tweet I had sent out earlier today:
Today’s #markets action suggests “buy on dips” reaction function remains deeply engrained, & this despite #centralbanks cautionary signals. https://t.co/sDyevdoiiN
— Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) July 11, 2017
Yet as compressed as the $VIX remains it’s now dancing between its 50MA and the 200MA. As the range is so narrow it will ultimately not take much to see a lasting spike above the 200MA. Indeed, so far in July the $VIX has remained above the 50MA on the daily closes. A daily close above the 200MA could set up for the long awaited spike to the upper trend line. There also remains an open gap in the 21/22 range:
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