Of course Powell caved. Isn’t it obvious why? Home sales are dropping hard. Global growth is slowing hard. Financial conditions are tightening. Stock have been dropping. Never mind all the Fed Crying […]

China clearly wants a deal. Does Trump? The answer to this question is perhaps the answer to the next big move in markets. I give you my attempt at a psychological profile […]

Have I committed a chart crime? It’s possible, but perhaps not, in either case I’ll put myself at the mercy of readers. What I’m referring to is a chart and tagline I […]

Event risks are rare, but they can impact markets harshly. 9/11 being an obvious example. Unpredictable, unforeseen. “Stuff happens” Donald Rumsfeld once opined about events surrounding the Iraq war. But some event […]

It’s coming. And don’t kid yourself into believing it won’t. It happens in every cycle. The economy comes out of a recession, things recover (these days with the help of central banks) […]

We’re in one of the longest economic expansion cycles in history and nobody’s happy. It’s mind blowing. You’d think 2018 would have people dancing in the streets. 3.7% unemployment, record stock market […]

So stocks dropped a little in October. Ok they actually dropped a lot and all of a sudden the S&P 500 was miles away from the all those optimistic 3,000+ year end […]

“Buy every dip” they told you all summer. Bull after bull came out and told people to buy the dip. That worked well, no really, it worked. The move to new highs […]

Here’s my challenge: Drop 20 pounds by the end of the year and I encourage anyone interested to join me and follow my journey here as I’ll be documenting my process and […]