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NorthmanTrader

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Commentary

The Tax Cut Recession

Don’t shoot the messenger: The next recession is unavoidable and is programmed into everything we see right now. In fact, recent tax cuts may end up being the trigger of this next recession and that reality may slowly be dawning on some market participants. Hence I call it the Tax Cut Recession. Let me walk you through the evidence. Firstly let’s start with a macro chart which I think is […]

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Actionable Trade SetUps

Our mission: Identify Actionable Technical Trade SetUps. The purpose of finding these trade setups is simple: Outline favorable trade entry points at key directional turns to deliver high returns. How to do this is much more complex and if it was easy everyone could do it. In fact, many traders struggle identifying favorable entry and exit opportunities. Where to enter, where to exit, how to manage risk with stops? Identifying these setups across […]

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Hocus, Pocus, Focus

Hey guys, Mella here: Technical analyst. What a load of hocus pocus. One can draw trend lines anywhere, or at least that’s what I get told by many tweeters. A horse is given blinkers to ensure they remain focused, peripheral vision basically so that they don’t run off course. The same applies to trading. But focus is key along with a good eye and those simple trend lines can turn […]

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This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. March Macro Charts: Keeping track of the latest macro data Market Paradox: Tech making new highs, but $DJIA is not. We have seen […]

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This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. The Market’s Junk Problem: Pay close attention to this chart. Monthly Charts: Not all indices are created equal, note the differences in the […]

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Debt Matters

My take: Consumer debt is a massive problem. There are people that don’t see it that way. I think that’s a mistake and I’ll outline my case here with some charts/thoughts and you are of course free to draw your own conclusions. I don’t think it’s an accident that markets have been reacting negatively to yields spiking. And it’s also not an accident that home sales are dropping in the […]

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It’s Raining Money

With apologies to the Dire Straits: Now look at them yo-yo’s that’s the way you do it You play the bull on the fin TV That ain’t workin’ that’s the way you do it Money for nothin’ and stocks for free After 9 years of artificial liquidity drenching markets the same game continues in 2018: It’s raining money. Again. Still. Last week we saw the standard script of the last 9 […]

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Why I love Bitcoin

Post by Mella: So, wtf is bitcoin anyways? A virtual currency that can be mined on your computer!!! Sounds like a financial version of Pokemon Go to me. The fad of the day? You can’t see it, you can’t touch it, yet here it is with billions of dollars in market cap and a global financial system fighting it tooth and nails every day. Central bankers, bankers, economists, etc, the financial […]

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This Week on NT

In case you missed below are public posts on NorthmanTrader this week. The posts cover key technical and macro developments and considerations from the past week. To visit posts please click the images. For the latest public analysis please visit NorthmanTrader. For our market products please visit Services. KISS SetUp $CL: Long SetUp for Crude Light KISS SetUp $NUGT: Long SetUp for $NUGT: KISS SetUp $GDX: Long SetUp for $GDX: Fed Watch: […]

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Fed Watch

Oh I love Fed chatter. Always provides an opportunity to read between the lines. Fed minutes aside what do you really think? Here’s a string of headlines that came across today, and you tell me, how confident are these guys: “Fed’s Kaplan: Bulk Of Impact From Tax Cut To Be Felt In 2018 KAPLAN SAYS U.S. MAY NEED TO MORE ACTIVELY CONSIDER WAYS TO REDUCE U.S. GOVERNMENT DEBT GROWTH FED’S […]

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